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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ekstraklasa · Regular Season - 27

Kick-off

Sat 5 Apr 2025

16:30

Venue

Tarczyński Arena

Competition

Ekstraklasa

Poland

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Slask Wroclaw Win

63%

Slask Wroclaw

1.58

20%

Draw

4.90

16%

Motor Lublin

6.14

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 0

10.6%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 0

10.2%

Home win

2 – 1

9.9%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.06

Slask Wroclaw xG

Total xG

3.00

0.94

Motor Lublin xG

63%
20%
16%
Slask WroclawDrawMotor Lublin

1.58

63%

Home win

4.90

20%

Draw

6.14

16%

Away win

Goals Markets

80%

Over 1.5

1.25

20%

Under 1.5

5.00

58%

Over 2.5

1.72

42%

Under 2.5

2.38

35%

Over 3.5

2.86

65%

Under 3.5

1.54

19%

Over 4.5

5.26

81%

Under 4.5

1.23

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

53%

BTTS Yes

1.88

47%

BTTS No

2.14

Clean Sheet

39%

Slask Wroclaw

2.56

13%

Motor Lublin

7.88

Win to Nil

25%

Slask Wroclaw

4.04

2%

Motor Lublin

48.36

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.0 4.7 2.2 0.7 0.2
1 10.2 9.6 4.5 1.4 0.3 0.1
2 10.6 9.9 4.7 1.5 0.3 0.1
3 7.3 6.8 3.2 1.0 0.2
4 3.7 3.5 1.7 0.5 0.1
5 1.5 1.5 0.7 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.064
λ Away (xG) 0.940
Total xG 3.004
League avg home goals 1.457
League avg away goals 1.180
Slask Wroclaw attack strength 1.086
Slask Wroclaw defence strength 1.017
Motor Lublin attack strength 0.784
Motor Lublin defence strength 1.304
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 60 / 26