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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ekstraklasa · Regular Season - 33

Kick-off

Fri 16 May 2025

19:30

Venue

Tarczyński Arena

Competition

Ekstraklasa

Poland

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Slask Wroclaw Win

39%

Slask Wroclaw

2.57

26%

Draw

3.82

35%

Jagiellonia

2.87

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.4%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

9.8%

Home win

0 – 1

9.2%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.36

Slask Wroclaw xG

Total xG

2.63

1.27

Jagiellonia xG

39%
26%
35%
Slask WroclawDrawJagiellonia

2.57

39%

Home win

3.82

26%

Draw

2.87

35%

Away win

Goals Markets

74%

Over 1.5

1.35

26%

Under 1.5

3.85

49%

Over 2.5

2.04

51%

Under 2.5

1.96

27%

Over 3.5

3.70

73%

Under 3.5

1.37

13%

Over 4.5

7.69

87%

Under 4.5

1.15

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

54%

BTTS Yes

1.87

46%

BTTS No

2.15

Clean Sheet

28%

Slask Wroclaw

3.57

26%

Jagiellonia

3.90

Win to Nil

11%

Slask Wroclaw

9.16

9%

Jagiellonia

11.18

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.2 9.2 5.8 2.5 0.8 0.2
1 9.8 12.4 7.9 3.4 1.1 0.3
2 6.7 8.5 5.4 2.3 0.7 0.2
3 3.0 3.8 2.4 1.0 0.3 0.1
4 1.0 1.3 0.8 0.4 0.1
5 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.360
λ Away (xG) 1.272
Total xG 2.632
League avg home goals 1.539
League avg away goals 1.265
Slask Wroclaw attack strength 0.977
Slask Wroclaw defence strength 1.030
Jagiellonia attack strength 0.976
Jagiellonia defence strength 0.905
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 66 / 66