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Ekstraklasa · Regular Season - 28

Kick-off

Sat 12 Apr 2025

19:15

Venue

Miejski Stadion Piłkarski Raków

Competition

Ekstraklasa

Poland

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Raków Częstochowa Win

48%

Raków Częstochowa

2.09

23%

Draw

4.29

29%

Radomiak Radom

3.47

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.6%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

9.4%

Home win

1 – 0

8.0%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.77

Raków Częstochowa xG

Total xG

3.09

1.32

Radomiak Radom xG

48%
23%
29%
Raków CzęstochowaDrawRadomiak Radom

2.09

48%

Home win

4.29

23%

Draw

3.47

29%

Away win

Goals Markets

81%

Over 1.5

1.23

19%

Under 1.5

5.26

60%

Over 2.5

1.67

40%

Under 2.5

2.50

37%

Over 3.5

2.70

63%

Under 3.5

1.59

20%

Over 4.5

5.00

80%

Under 4.5

1.25

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

61%

BTTS Yes

1.64

39%

BTTS No

2.55

Clean Sheet

27%

Raków Częstochowa

3.75

17%

Radomiak Radom

5.85

Win to Nil

13%

Raków Częstochowa

7.84

5%

Radomiak Radom

20.30

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.6 6.0 4.0 1.8 0.6 0.2
1 8.0 10.6 7.0 3.1 1.0 0.3
2 7.1 9.4 6.2 2.7 0.9 0.2
3 4.2 5.5 3.7 1.6 0.5 0.1
4 1.8 2.4 1.6 0.7 0.2 0.1
5 0.7 0.9 0.6 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.766
λ Away (xG) 1.323
Total xG 3.089
League avg home goals 1.489
League avg away goals 1.183
Raków Częstochowa attack strength 1.071
Raków Częstochowa defence strength 0.980
Radomiak Radom attack strength 1.142
Radomiak Radom defence strength 1.107
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 61 / 61