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Ekstraklasa · Regular Season - 16

Kick-off

Sat 22 Nov 2025

16:30

Venue

zondacrypto Arena

Competition

Ekstraklasa

Poland

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Raków Częstochowa Win

41%

Raków Częstochowa

2.46

31%

Draw

3.21

28%

Piast Gliwice

3.54

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.6%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

11.2%

Home win

0 – 1

9.1%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.39

Raków Częstochowa xG

Total xG

2.51

1.13

Piast Gliwice xG

41%
31%
28%
Raków CzęstochowaDrawPiast Gliwice

2.46

41%

Home win

3.21

31%

Draw

3.54

28%

Away win

Goals Markets

72%

Over 1.5

1.39

28%

Under 1.5

3.57

46%

Over 2.5

2.17

54%

Under 2.5

1.85

25%

Over 3.5

4.00

75%

Under 3.5

1.33

11%

Over 4.5

9.09

89%

Under 4.5

1.12

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

53%

BTTS Yes

1.89

47%

BTTS No

2.13

Clean Sheet

32%

Raków Częstochowa

3.09

25%

Piast Gliwice

4.01

Win to Nil

13%

Raków Częstochowa

7.61

7%

Piast Gliwice

14.19

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.1 9.1 5.1 1.9 0.5 0.1
1 11.2 12.6 7.1 2.7 0.8 0.2
2 7.8 8.8 4.9 1.9 0.5 0.1
3 3.6 4.1 2.3 0.9 0.2 0.1
4 1.3 1.4 0.8 0.3 0.1
5 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.388
λ Away (xG) 1.127
Total xG 2.515
League avg home goals 1.609
League avg away goals 1.213
Raków Częstochowa attack strength 0.959
Raków Częstochowa defence strength 0.935
Piast Gliwice attack strength 0.994
Piast Gliwice defence strength 0.899
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 48 / 47