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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ekstraklasa · Regular Season - 25

Kick-off

Sun 16 Mar 2025

16:30

Venue

Miejski Stadion Piłkarski Raków

Competition

Ekstraklasa

Poland

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Raków Częstochowa Win

51%

Raków Częstochowa

1.96

23%

Draw

4.29

26%

Legia Warszawa

3.90

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.8%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

9.7%

Home win

1 – 0

9.1%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.78

Raków Częstochowa xG

Total xG

2.98

1.20

Legia Warszawa xG

51%
23%
26%
Raków CzęstochowaDrawLegia Warszawa

1.96

51%

Home win

4.29

23%

Draw

3.90

26%

Away win

Goals Markets

80%

Over 1.5

1.25

20%

Under 1.5

5.00

57%

Over 2.5

1.75

43%

Under 2.5

2.33

35%

Over 3.5

2.86

65%

Under 3.5

1.54

18%

Over 4.5

5.56

82%

Under 4.5

1.22

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

58%

BTTS Yes

1.72

42%

BTTS No

2.38

Clean Sheet

30%

Raków Częstochowa

3.31

17%

Legia Warszawa

5.94

Win to Nil

15%

Raków Częstochowa

6.47

4%

Legia Warszawa

23.20

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.1 6.1 3.6 1.5 0.4 0.1
1 9.1 10.8 6.5 2.6 0.8 0.2
2 8.1 9.7 5.8 2.3 0.7 0.2
3 4.8 5.7 3.4 1.4 0.4 0.1
4 2.1 2.6 1.5 0.6 0.2
5 0.8 0.9 0.5 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.782
λ Away (xG) 1.196
Total xG 2.978
League avg home goals 1.435
League avg away goals 1.194
Raków Częstochowa attack strength 1.028
Raków Częstochowa defence strength 0.889
Legia Warszawa attack strength 1.127
Legia Warszawa defence strength 1.208
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 58 / 58