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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ekstraklasa · Regular Season - 13

Kick-off

Sun 26 Oct 2025

13:45

Venue

Miejski Stadion Piłkarski Raków w Częstochowie

Competition

Ekstraklasa

Poland

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Raków Częstochowa Win

50%

Raków Częstochowa

1.99

23%

Draw

4.38

27%

Lechia Gdansk

3.71

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

9.8%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

9.4%

Home win

1 – 0

7.1%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.93

Raków Częstochowa xG

Total xG

3.29

1.37

Lechia Gdansk xG

50%
23%
27%
Raków CzęstochowaDrawLechia Gdansk

1.99

50%

Home win

4.38

23%

Draw

3.71

27%

Away win

Goals Markets

84%

Over 1.5

1.19

16%

Under 1.5

6.25

64%

Over 2.5

1.56

36%

Under 2.5

2.78

42%

Over 3.5

2.38

58%

Under 3.5

1.72

24%

Over 4.5

4.17

76%

Under 4.5

1.32

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

64%

BTTS Yes

1.56

36%

BTTS No

2.78

Clean Sheet

25%

Raków Częstochowa

3.93

15%

Lechia Gdansk

6.86

Win to Nil

13%

Raków Częstochowa

7.82

4%

Lechia Gdansk

25.46

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.7 5.1 3.5 1.6 0.5 0.1
1 7.1 9.8 6.7 3.0 1.0 0.3
2 6.9 9.4 6.4 2.9 1.0 0.3
3 4.4 6.0 4.1 1.9 0.6 0.2
4 2.1 2.9 2.0 0.9 0.3 0.1
5 0.8 1.1 0.8 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.926
λ Away (xG) 1.368
Total xG 3.294
League avg home goals 1.672
League avg away goals 1.189
Raków Częstochowa attack strength 0.930
Raków Częstochowa defence strength 0.949
Lechia Gdansk attack strength 1.212
Lechia Gdansk defence strength 1.238
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 45 / 46