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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ekstraklasa · Regular Season - 23

Kick-off

Mon 3 Mar 2025

18:00

Venue

Miejski Stadion Piłkarski Raków

Competition

Ekstraklasa

Poland

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Raków Częstochowa Win

48%

Raków Częstochowa

2.08

25%

Draw

3.94

26%

Lechia Gdansk

3.78

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.1%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

11.2%

Home win

2 – 1

9.3%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.55

Raków Częstochowa xG

Total xG

2.63

1.08

Lechia Gdansk xG

48%
25%
26%
Raków CzęstochowaDrawLechia Gdansk

2.08

48%

Home win

3.94

25%

Draw

3.78

26%

Away win

Goals Markets

74%

Over 1.5

1.35

26%

Under 1.5

3.85

49%

Over 2.5

2.04

51%

Under 2.5

1.96

27%

Over 3.5

3.70

73%

Under 3.5

1.37

13%

Over 4.5

7.69

87%

Under 4.5

1.15

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

52%

BTTS Yes

1.92

48%

BTTS No

2.08

Clean Sheet

34%

Raków Częstochowa

2.94

21%

Lechia Gdansk

4.71

Win to Nil

16%

Raków Częstochowa

6.12

6%

Lechia Gdansk

17.77

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.2 7.8 4.2 1.5 0.4 0.1
1 11.2 12.1 6.5 2.3 0.6 0.1
2 8.7 9.3 5.0 1.8 0.5 0.1
3 4.5 4.8 2.6 0.9 0.3 0.1
4 1.7 1.9 1.0 0.4 0.1
5 0.5 0.6 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.549
λ Away (xG) 1.080
Total xG 2.629
League avg home goals 1.355
League avg away goals 1.152
Raków Częstochowa attack strength 0.957
Raków Częstochowa defence strength 0.884
Lechia Gdansk attack strength 1.061
Lechia Gdansk defence strength 1.194
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 56 / 22