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Ekstraklasa · Regular Season - 32

Kick-off

Sat 10 May 2025

19:15

Venue

zondacrypto Arena

Competition

Ekstraklasa

Poland

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Raków Częstochowa Win

54%

Raków Częstochowa

1.84

25%

Draw

4.06

21%

Jagiellonia

4.75

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

12.1%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

11.5%

Draw

2 – 0

10.2%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.68

Raków Częstochowa xG

Total xG

2.63

0.95

Jagiellonia xG

54%
25%
21%
Raków CzęstochowaDrawJagiellonia

1.84

54%

Home win

4.06

25%

Draw

4.75

21%

Away win

Goals Markets

74%

Over 1.5

1.35

26%

Under 1.5

3.85

49%

Over 2.5

2.04

51%

Under 2.5

1.96

27%

Over 3.5

3.70

73%

Under 3.5

1.37

13%

Over 4.5

7.69

87%

Under 4.5

1.15

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

50%

BTTS Yes

1.99

50%

BTTS No

2.01

Clean Sheet

39%

Raków Częstochowa

2.59

19%

Jagiellonia

5.37

Win to Nil

21%

Raków Częstochowa

4.77

4%

Jagiellonia

25.50

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.2 6.8 3.3 1.0 0.2
1 12.1 11.5 5.5 1.7 0.4 0.1
2 10.2 9.7 4.6 1.5 0.3 0.1
3 5.7 5.4 2.6 0.8 0.2
4 2.4 2.3 1.1 0.3 0.1
5 0.8 0.8 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.681
λ Away (xG) 0.952
Total xG 2.633
League avg home goals 1.536
League avg away goals 1.239
Raków Częstochowa attack strength 1.157
Raków Częstochowa defence strength 0.843
Jagiellonia attack strength 0.911
Jagiellonia defence strength 0.946
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 65 / 65