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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ekstraklasa · Regular Season - 8

Kick-off

Mon 15 Sep 2025

18:00

Venue

Miejski Stadion Piłkarski Raków w Częstochowie

Competition

Ekstraklasa

Poland

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Gornik Zabrze Win

34%

Raków Częstochowa

2.96

27%

Draw

3.72

39%

Gornik Zabrze

2.54

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.5%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

10.0%

Away win

1 – 0

9.1%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.25

Raków Częstochowa xG

Total xG

2.62

1.37

Gornik Zabrze xG

34%
27%
39%
Raków CzęstochowaDrawGornik Zabrze

2.96

34%

Home win

3.72

27%

Draw

2.54

39%

Away win

Goals Markets

74%

Over 1.5

1.35

26%

Under 1.5

3.85

49%

Over 2.5

2.04

51%

Under 2.5

1.96

27%

Over 3.5

3.70

73%

Under 3.5

1.37

12%

Over 4.5

8.33

88%

Under 4.5

1.14

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

53%

BTTS Yes

1.87

47%

BTTS No

2.15

Clean Sheet

25%

Raków Częstochowa

3.93

29%

Gornik Zabrze

3.49

Win to Nil

9%

Raków Częstochowa

11.62

11%

Gornik Zabrze

8.86

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.3 10.0 6.8 3.1 1.1 0.3
1 9.1 12.5 8.5 3.9 1.3 0.4
2 5.7 7.8 5.3 2.4 0.8 0.2
3 2.4 3.2 2.2 1.0 0.3 0.1
4 0.7 1.0 0.7 0.3 0.1
5 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.249
λ Away (xG) 1.368
Total xG 2.617
League avg home goals 1.610
League avg away goals 1.175
Raków Częstochowa attack strength 0.993
Raków Częstochowa defence strength 1.074
Gornik Zabrze attack strength 1.084
Gornik Zabrze defence strength 0.782
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 39 / 41