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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ekstraklasa · Regular Season - 22

Kick-off

Fri 21 Feb 2025

19:30

Venue

Miejski Stadion Piłkarski Raków

Competition

Ekstraklasa

Poland

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Raków Częstochowa Win

43%

Raków Częstochowa

2.33

27%

Draw

3.74

30%

Gornik Zabrze

3.30

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.2%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

10.1%

Home win

2 – 1

9.0%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.48

Raków Częstochowa xG

Total xG

2.69

1.21

Gornik Zabrze xG

43%
27%
30%
Raków CzęstochowaDrawGornik Zabrze

2.33

43%

Home win

3.74

27%

Draw

3.30

30%

Away win

Goals Markets

75%

Over 1.5

1.33

25%

Under 1.5

4.00

50%

Over 2.5

2.00

50%

Under 2.5

2.00

28%

Over 3.5

3.57

72%

Under 3.5

1.39

13%

Over 4.5

7.69

87%

Under 4.5

1.15

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

55%

BTTS Yes

1.83

45%

BTTS No

2.20

Clean Sheet

30%

Raków Częstochowa

3.34

23%

Gornik Zabrze

4.39

Win to Nil

13%

Raków Częstochowa

7.77

7%

Gornik Zabrze

14.48

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.8 8.2 5.0 2.0 0.6 0.1
1 10.1 12.2 7.3 2.9 0.9 0.2
2 7.5 9.0 5.4 2.2 0.7 0.2
3 3.7 4.4 2.7 1.1 0.3 0.1
4 1.4 1.6 1.0 0.4 0.1
5 0.4 0.5 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.480
λ Away (xG) 1.205
Total xG 2.685
League avg home goals 1.419
League avg away goals 1.116
Raków Częstochowa attack strength 0.958
Raków Częstochowa defence strength 0.999
Gornik Zabrze attack strength 1.080
Gornik Zabrze defence strength 1.088
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 55 / 55