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Ekstraklasa · Regular Season - 9

Kick-off

Sat 20 Sep 2025

11:15

Venue

Stadion Radomiaka

Competition

Ekstraklasa

Poland

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Radomiak Radom Win

52%

Radomiak Radom

1.93

24%

Draw

4.21

24%

Piast Gliwice

4.09

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.2%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

10.1%

Home win

2 – 1

9.7%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.73

Radomiak Radom xG

Total xG

2.85

1.11

Piast Gliwice xG

52%
24%
24%
Radomiak RadomDrawPiast Gliwice

1.93

52%

Home win

4.21

24%

Draw

4.09

24%

Away win

Goals Markets

78%

Over 1.5

1.28

22%

Under 1.5

4.55

54%

Over 2.5

1.85

46%

Under 2.5

2.17

32%

Over 3.5

3.12

68%

Under 3.5

1.47

16%

Over 4.5

6.25

84%

Under 4.5

1.19

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

55%

BTTS Yes

1.81

45%

BTTS No

2.24

Clean Sheet

33%

Radomiak Radom

3.05

18%

Piast Gliwice

5.65

Win to Nil

17%

Radomiak Radom

5.88

4%

Piast Gliwice

23.13

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.8 6.5 3.6 1.3 0.4 0.1
1 10.1 11.2 6.2 2.3 0.6 0.1
2 8.7 9.7 5.4 2.0 0.6 0.1
3 5.0 5.6 3.1 1.2 0.3 0.1
4 2.2 2.4 1.4 0.5 0.1
5 0.8 0.8 0.5 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.732
λ Away (xG) 1.114
Total xG 2.846
League avg home goals 1.549
League avg away goals 1.186
Radomiak Radom attack strength 1.237
Radomiak Radom defence strength 1.041
Piast Gliwice attack strength 0.902
Piast Gliwice defence strength 0.904
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 42 / 40