Radomiak Radom vs GKS Katowice – Predictions
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🧮 Model Insight
Where the Numbers Come From
The model rates Radomiak Radom's attack at 1.04x the league average against GKS Katowice's defence at 1.22x — combine the two and it projects 1.88 expected goals for the hosts. Flip it around — GKS Katowice's attack (1.18x) against Radomiak Radom's defence (1.10x) — and the away total comes out at 1.59.
These ratings are built from 50/17 games of current-season data — a full enough sample to trust.
Scoreline Breakdown
Of every possible scoreline, 1-1 carries the highest individual probability at 10.5% — still a long way from a near-certainty, which says something about how open this one is on paper. Close behind: 2-1 (8.7%), 1-2 (7.4%). Together the top three scorelines make up 27% of the probability — a moderately spread distribution, typical of a competitive match-up.
Most Likely Outcome
Radomiak Radom Win
45%
2.24
22%
4.51
33%
3.02
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 1
9.3%
Draw
Most likely
2 – 1
8.7%
Home win
1 – 2
7.4%
Away win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.88
Radomiak Radom xG
Total xG
3.47
1.59
GKS Katowice xG
2.24
45%
Home win
4.51
22%
Draw
3.02
33%
Away win
Goals Markets
86%
Over 1.5
1.16
14%
Under 1.5
7.14
67%
Over 2.5
1.49
33%
Under 2.5
3.03
46%
Over 3.5
2.17
54%
Under 3.5
1.85
27%
Over 4.5
3.70
73%
Under 4.5
1.37
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
67%
BTTS Yes
1.48
33%
BTTS No
3.08
Clean Sheet
20%
4.92
15%
6.52
Win to Nil
9%
11.02
5%
19.68
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3.1 | 5.0 | 4.0 | 2.1 | 0.8 | 0.3 |
| 1 | 5.8 | 9.3 | 7.4 | 3.9 | 1.6 | 0.5 |
| 2 | 5.5 | 8.7 | 7.0 | 3.7 | 1.5 | 0.5 |
| 3 | 3.4 | 5.5 | 4.3 | 2.3 | 0.9 | 0.3 |
| 4 | 1.6 | 2.6 | 2.0 | 1.1 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 5 | 0.6 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the most likely scoreline for Radomiak Radom vs GKS Katowice?
Our Poisson model rates 1-1 as the single most likely exact scoreline, at 10.5%.
How many goals are Radomiak Radom and GKS Katowice expected to score?
The model projects 1.88 expected goals for Radomiak Radom and 1.59 for GKS Katowice, a combined total of 3.47.
How confident is the prediction model for Radomiak Radom vs GKS Katowice?
Not very — the model's leading outcome sits at just 45%, meaning this is rated as a genuinely open contest with no dominant favourite.