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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ekstraklasa · Regular Season - 32

Kick-off

Mon 12 May 2025

18:00

Venue

Stadion Miejski w Niepołomicach

Competition

Ekstraklasa

Poland

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Puszcza Niepołomice Win

53%

Puszcza Niepołomice

1.90

20%

Draw

5.04

27%

Stal Mielec

3.64

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 1

8.4%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

7.2%

Draw

2 – 2

6.9%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.31

Puszcza Niepołomice xG

Total xG

3.97

1.65

Stal Mielec xG

53%
20%
27%
Puszcza NiepołomiceDrawStal Mielec

1.90

53%

Home win

5.04

20%

Draw

3.64

27%

Away win

Goals Markets

91%

Over 1.5

1.10

9%

Under 1.5

11.11

76%

Over 2.5

1.32

24%

Under 2.5

4.17

56%

Over 3.5

1.79

44%

Under 3.5

2.27

36%

Over 4.5

2.78

64%

Under 4.5

1.56

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

73%

BTTS Yes

1.37

27%

BTTS No

3.69

Clean Sheet

19%

Puszcza Niepołomice

5.23

10%

Stal Mielec

10.11

Win to Nil

10%

Puszcza Niepołomice

9.92

3%

Stal Mielec

36.81

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 1.9 3.1 2.6 1.4 0.6 0.2
1 4.4 7.2 6.0 3.3 1.4 0.5
2 5.1 8.4 6.9 3.8 1.6 0.5
3 3.9 6.5 5.3 2.9 1.2 0.4
4 2.3 3.7 3.1 1.7 0.7 0.2
5 1.0 1.7 1.4 0.8 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.314
λ Away (xG) 1.654
Total xG 3.968
League avg home goals 1.541
League avg away goals 1.254
Puszcza Niepołomice attack strength 1.138
Puszcza Niepołomice defence strength 1.321
Stal Mielec attack strength 0.998
Stal Mielec defence strength 1.320
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 65 / 65