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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ekstraklasa · Regular Season - 30

Kick-off

Fri 25 Apr 2025

17:00

Venue

Stadion Miejski w Niepołomicach

Competition

Ekstraklasa

Poland

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Pogon Szczecin Win

35%

Puszcza Niepołomice

2.87

26%

Draw

3.81

39%

Pogon Szczecin

2.57

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.5%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

9.9%

Away win

1 – 0

9.2%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.26

Puszcza Niepołomice xG

Total xG

2.62

1.35

Pogon Szczecin xG

35%
26%
39%
Puszcza NiepołomiceDrawPogon Szczecin

2.87

35%

Home win

3.81

26%

Draw

2.57

39%

Away win

Goals Markets

74%

Over 1.5

1.35

26%

Under 1.5

3.85

49%

Over 2.5

2.04

51%

Under 2.5

1.96

27%

Over 3.5

3.70

73%

Under 3.5

1.37

12%

Over 4.5

8.33

88%

Under 4.5

1.14

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

53%

BTTS Yes

1.88

47%

BTTS No

2.13

Clean Sheet

26%

Puszcza Niepołomice

3.86

28%

Pogon Szczecin

3.54

Win to Nil

9%

Puszcza Niepołomice

11.09

11%

Pogon Szczecin

9.10

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.3 9.9 6.7 3.0 1.0 0.3
1 9.2 12.5 8.4 3.8 1.3 0.3
2 5.8 7.9 5.3 2.4 0.8 0.2
3 2.5 3.3 2.2 1.0 0.3 0.1
4 0.8 1.1 0.7 0.3 0.1
5 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.264
λ Away (xG) 1.351
Total xG 2.615
League avg home goals 1.457
League avg away goals 1.215
Puszcza Niepołomice attack strength 0.985
Puszcza Niepołomice defence strength 1.082
Pogon Szczecin attack strength 1.028
Pogon Szczecin defence strength 0.880
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 63 / 63