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Ekstraklasa · Regular Season - 19

Kick-off

Sat 1 Feb 2025

19:15

Venue

Stadion Miejski im. Floriana Krygiera

Competition

Ekstraklasa

Poland

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Pogon Szczecin Win

54%

Pogon Szczecin

1.86

26%

Draw

3.79

20%

Zaglebie Lubin

5.03

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

12.9%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

11.7%

Draw

2 – 0

10.6%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.64

Pogon Szczecin xG

Total xG

2.54

0.90

Zaglebie Lubin xG

54%
26%
20%
Pogon SzczecinDrawZaglebie Lubin

1.86

54%

Home win

3.79

26%

Draw

5.03

20%

Away win

Goals Markets

72%

Over 1.5

1.39

28%

Under 1.5

3.57

47%

Over 2.5

2.13

53%

Under 2.5

1.89

25%

Over 3.5

4.00

75%

Under 3.5

1.33

11%

Over 4.5

9.09

89%

Under 4.5

1.12

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

49%

BTTS Yes

2.05

51%

BTTS No

1.95

Clean Sheet

40%

Pogon Szczecin

2.47

19%

Zaglebie Lubin

5.13

Win to Nil

22%

Pogon Szczecin

4.60

4%

Zaglebie Lubin

25.83

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.9 7.1 3.2 1.0 0.2
1 12.9 11.7 5.3 1.6 0.4 0.1
2 10.6 9.5 4.3 1.3 0.3 0.1
3 5.8 5.2 2.4 0.7 0.2
4 2.4 2.1 1.0 0.3 0.1
5 0.8 0.7 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.636
λ Away (xG) 0.904
Total xG 2.540
League avg home goals 1.417
League avg away goals 1.169
Pogon Szczecin attack strength 1.046
Pogon Szczecin defence strength 0.883
Zaglebie Lubin attack strength 0.876
Zaglebie Lubin defence strength 1.104
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 52 / 52