Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ekstraklasa · Regular Season - 8

Kick-off

Sat 12 Sep 2026

17:00

Venue

Stadion Miejski im. Floriana Krygiera

Competition

Ekstraklasa

Poland

Status

NS

Most Likely Outcome

Pogon Szczecin Win

55%

Pogon Szczecin

1.81

25%

Draw

3.98

20%

Wieczysta Kraków

5.12

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

11.5%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

11.1%

Draw

2 – 0

10.2%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.76

Pogon Szczecin xG

Total xG

2.73

0.96

Wieczysta Kraków xG

55%
25%
20%
Pogon SzczecinDrawWieczysta Kraków

1.81

55%

Home win

3.98

25%

Draw

5.12

20%

Away win

Goals Markets

76%

Over 1.5

1.32

24%

Under 1.5

4.17

51%

Over 2.5

1.96

49%

Under 2.5

2.04

29%

Over 3.5

3.45

71%

Under 3.5

1.41

14%

Over 4.5

7.14

86%

Under 4.5

1.16

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

52%

BTTS Yes

1.92

48%

BTTS No

2.09

Clean Sheet

38%

Pogon Szczecin

2.62

17%

Wieczysta Kraków

5.84

Win to Nil

21%

Pogon Szczecin

4.74

3%

Wieczysta Kraków

29.85

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.5 6.3 3.0 1.0 0.2
1 11.5 11.1 5.4 1.7 0.4 0.1
2 10.2 9.8 4.7 1.5 0.4 0.1
3 6.0 5.8 2.8 0.9 0.2
4 2.6 2.5 1.2 0.4 0.1
5 0.9 0.9 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.764
λ Away (xG) 0.964
Total xG 2.728
League avg home goals 1.527
League avg away goals 1.160
Pogon Szczecin attack strength 1.004
Pogon Szczecin defence strength 0.977
Wieczysta Kraków attack strength 0.850
Wieczysta Kraków defence strength 1.150
Data phase PrevSeason
Games used (H/A) 34 / 0