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Ekstraklasa · Regular Season - 31

Kick-off

Sat 1 May 2027

17:00

Venue

Stadion Miejski im. Floriana Krygiera

Competition

Ekstraklasa

Poland

Status

NS

Most Likely Outcome

Pogon Szczecin Win

45%

Pogon Szczecin

2.21

29%

Draw

3.44

26%

Widzew Łódź

3.90

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

12.9%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

12.7%

Draw

0 – 0

9.2%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.40

Pogon Szczecin xG

Total xG

2.38

0.99

Widzew Łódź xG

45%
29%
26%
Pogon SzczecinDrawWidzew Łódź

2.21

45%

Home win

3.44

29%

Draw

3.90

26%

Away win

Goals Markets

69%

Over 1.5

1.45

31%

Under 1.5

3.23

43%

Over 2.5

2.33

57%

Under 2.5

1.75

22%

Over 3.5

4.55

78%

Under 3.5

1.28

9%

Over 4.5

11.11

91%

Under 4.5

1.10

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

48%

BTTS Yes

2.07

52%

BTTS No

1.93

Clean Sheet

37%

Pogon Szczecin

2.69

25%

Widzew Łódź

4.04

Win to Nil

17%

Pogon Szczecin

5.93

6%

Widzew Łódź

15.77

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.2 9.1 4.5 1.5 0.4 0.1
1 12.9 12.7 6.3 2.1 0.5 0.1
2 9.0 8.9 4.4 1.4 0.4 0.1
3 4.2 4.1 2.0 0.7 0.2
4 1.5 1.4 0.7 0.2 0.1
5 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.396
λ Away (xG) 0.989
Total xG 2.385
League avg home goals 1.527
League avg away goals 1.160
Pogon Szczecin attack strength 1.004
Pogon Szczecin defence strength 0.978
Widzew Łódź attack strength 0.871
Widzew Łódź defence strength 0.911
Data phase PrevSeason
Games used (H/A) 34 / 34