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Ekstraklasa · Regular Season - 30

Kick-off

Fri 23 Apr 2027

17:00

Venue

Stadion Miejski im. Floriana Krygiera

Competition

Ekstraklasa

Poland

Status

NS

Most Likely Outcome

Pogon Szczecin Win

41%

Pogon Szczecin

2.42

27%

Draw

3.70

32%

Raków Częstochowa

3.16

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.8%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

9.1%

Home win

2 – 1

8.9%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.51

Pogon Szczecin xG

Total xG

2.80

1.29

Raków Częstochowa xG

41%
27%
32%
Pogon SzczecinDrawRaków Częstochowa

2.42

41%

Home win

3.70

27%

Draw

3.16

32%

Away win

Goals Markets

77%

Over 1.5

1.30

23%

Under 1.5

4.35

53%

Over 2.5

1.89

47%

Under 2.5

2.13

31%

Over 3.5

3.23

69%

Under 3.5

1.45

15%

Over 4.5

6.67

85%

Under 4.5

1.18

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

57%

BTTS Yes

1.74

43%

BTTS No

2.35

Clean Sheet

27%

Pogon Szczecin

3.65

22%

Raków Częstochowa

4.51

Win to Nil

11%

Pogon Szczecin

8.84

7%

Raków Częstochowa

14.25

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.1 7.9 5.1 2.2 0.7 0.2
1 9.1 11.8 7.7 3.3 1.1 0.3
2 6.9 8.9 5.8 2.5 0.8 0.2
3 3.5 4.5 2.9 1.3 0.4 0.1
4 1.3 1.7 1.1 0.5 0.2
5 0.4 0.5 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.507
λ Away (xG) 1.295
Total xG 2.802
League avg home goals 1.527
League avg away goals 1.160
Pogon Szczecin attack strength 1.004
Pogon Szczecin defence strength 0.978
Raków Częstochowa attack strength 1.141
Raków Częstochowa defence strength 0.983
Data phase PrevSeason
Games used (H/A) 34 / 34