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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ekstraklasa · Regular Season - 7

Kick-off

Sun 31 Aug 2025

19:15

Venue

Stadion Miejski im. Floriana Krygiera

Competition

Ekstraklasa

Poland

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Pogon Szczecin Win

41%

Pogon Szczecin

2.45

24%

Draw

4.19

35%

Raków Częstochowa

2.84

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.9%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

8.7%

Home win

1 – 2

8.0%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.61

Pogon Szczecin xG

Total xG

3.09

1.48

Raków Częstochowa xG

41%
24%
35%
Pogon SzczecinDrawRaków Częstochowa

2.45

41%

Home win

4.19

24%

Draw

2.84

35%

Away win

Goals Markets

81%

Over 1.5

1.23

19%

Under 1.5

5.26

60%

Over 2.5

1.67

40%

Under 2.5

2.50

37%

Over 3.5

2.70

63%

Under 3.5

1.59

20%

Over 4.5

5.00

80%

Under 4.5

1.25

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

62%

BTTS Yes

1.62

38%

BTTS No

2.61

Clean Sheet

23%

Pogon Szczecin

4.38

20%

Raków Częstochowa

4.99

Win to Nil

9%

Pogon Szczecin

10.72

7%

Raków Częstochowa

14.16

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.6 6.8 5.0 2.5 0.9 0.3
1 7.3 10.9 8.0 4.0 1.5 0.4
2 5.9 8.7 6.5 3.2 1.2 0.3
3 3.2 4.7 3.5 1.7 0.6 0.2
4 1.3 1.9 1.4 0.7 0.3 0.1
5 0.4 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.608
λ Away (xG) 1.478
Total xG 3.086
League avg home goals 1.589
League avg away goals 1.229
Pogon Szczecin attack strength 1.139
Pogon Szczecin defence strength 1.123
Raków Częstochowa attack strength 1.071
Raków Częstochowa defence strength 0.888
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 40 / 38