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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ekstraklasa · Regular Season - 2

Kick-off

Sat 26 Jul 2025

16:30

Venue

Stadion Miejski im. Floriana Krygiera

Competition

Ekstraklasa

Poland

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Pogon Szczecin Win

56%

Pogon Szczecin

1.77

22%

Draw

4.64

22%

Motor Lublin

4.54

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

9.9%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

9.8%

Home win

1 – 0

8.4%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.99

Pogon Szczecin xG

Total xG

3.16

1.17

Motor Lublin xG

56%
22%
22%
Pogon SzczecinDrawMotor Lublin

1.77

56%

Home win

4.64

22%

Draw

4.54

22%

Away win

Goals Markets

82%

Over 1.5

1.22

18%

Under 1.5

5.56

61%

Over 2.5

1.64

39%

Under 2.5

2.56

39%

Over 3.5

2.56

61%

Under 3.5

1.64

21%

Over 4.5

4.76

79%

Under 4.5

1.27

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

60%

BTTS Yes

1.68

40%

BTTS No

2.48

Clean Sheet

31%

Pogon Szczecin

3.23

14%

Motor Lublin

7.34

Win to Nil

17%

Pogon Szczecin

5.72

3%

Motor Lublin

33.34

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.2 4.9 2.9 1.1 0.3 0.1
1 8.4 9.9 5.8 2.3 0.7 0.2
2 8.4 9.8 5.8 2.2 0.7 0.2
3 5.6 6.5 3.8 1.5 0.4 0.1
4 2.8 3.3 1.9 0.7 0.2 0.1
5 1.1 1.3 0.8 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.993
λ Away (xG) 1.171
Total xG 3.164
League avg home goals 1.482
League avg away goals 1.248
Pogon Szczecin attack strength 1.236
Pogon Szczecin defence strength 0.940
Motor Lublin attack strength 0.999
Motor Lublin defence strength 1.088
Data phase Blended
Games used (H/A) 35 / 35