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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ekstraklasa · Regular Season - 31

Kick-off

Wed 14 May 2025

19:30

Venue

Stadion Miejski im. Floriana Krygiera

Competition

Ekstraklasa

Poland

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Pogon Szczecin Win

70%

Pogon Szczecin

1.43

18%

Draw

5.63

12%

Motor Lublin

8.04

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 0

11.2%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 0

9.7%

Home win

2 – 1

9.6%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.31

Pogon Szczecin xG

Total xG

3.17

0.86

Motor Lublin xG

70%
18%
12%
Pogon SzczecinDrawMotor Lublin

1.43

70%

Home win

5.63

18%

Draw

8.04

12%

Away win

Goals Markets

83%

Over 1.5

1.20

17%

Under 1.5

5.88

61%

Over 2.5

1.64

39%

Under 2.5

2.56

39%

Over 3.5

2.56

61%

Under 3.5

1.64

21%

Over 4.5

4.76

79%

Under 4.5

1.27

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

52%

BTTS Yes

1.92

48%

BTTS No

2.09

Clean Sheet

42%

Pogon Szczecin

2.37

10%

Motor Lublin

10.07

Win to Nil

29%

Pogon Szczecin

3.40

1%

Motor Lublin

80.98

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.2 3.6 1.6 0.4 0.1
1 9.7 8.3 3.6 1.0 0.2
2 11.2 9.6 4.2 1.2 0.3
3 8.6 7.4 3.2 0.9 0.2
4 5.0 4.3 1.9 0.5 0.1
5 2.3 2.0 0.9 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.310
λ Away (xG) 0.864
Total xG 3.174
League avg home goals 1.538
League avg away goals 1.266
Pogon Szczecin attack strength 1.296
Pogon Szczecin defence strength 0.815
Motor Lublin attack strength 0.838
Motor Lublin defence strength 1.159
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 65 / 31