Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ekstraklasa · Regular Season - 9

Kick-off

Sun 21 Sep 2025

13:45

Venue

Stadion Miejski im. Floriana Krygiera

Competition

Ekstraklasa

Poland

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Pogon Szczecin Win

64%

Pogon Szczecin

1.56

18%

Draw

5.43

17%

Lechia Gdansk

5.73

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 1

9.5%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 0

8.0%

Home win

1 – 1

7.9%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.40

Pogon Szczecin xG

Total xG

3.59

1.19

Lechia Gdansk xG

64%
18%
17%
Pogon SzczecinDrawLechia Gdansk

1.56

64%

Home win

5.43

18%

Draw

5.73

17%

Away win

Goals Markets

87%

Over 1.5

1.15

13%

Under 1.5

7.69

69%

Over 2.5

1.45

31%

Under 2.5

3.23

48%

Over 3.5

2.08

52%

Under 3.5

1.92

29%

Over 4.5

3.45

71%

Under 4.5

1.41

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

63%

BTTS Yes

1.58

37%

BTTS No

2.72

Clean Sheet

30%

Pogon Szczecin

3.28

9%

Lechia Gdansk

11.00

Win to Nil

20%

Pogon Szczecin

5.12

2%

Lechia Gdansk

63.08

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 2.8 3.3 2.0 0.8 0.2 0.1
1 6.6 7.9 4.7 1.9 0.6 0.1
2 8.0 9.5 5.6 2.2 0.7 0.2
3 6.4 7.6 4.5 1.8 0.5 0.1
4 3.8 4.5 2.7 1.1 0.3 0.1
5 1.8 2.2 1.3 0.5 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.398
λ Away (xG) 1.188
Total xG 3.586
League avg home goals 1.494
League avg away goals 1.158
Pogon Szczecin attack strength 1.195
Pogon Szczecin defence strength 1.002
Lechia Gdansk attack strength 1.025
Lechia Gdansk defence strength 1.344
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 42 / 42