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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ekstraklasa · Regular Season - 20

Kick-off

Fri 7 Feb 2025

19:30

Venue

Stadion Miejski im. Floriana Krygiera

Competition

Ekstraklasa

Poland

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Pogon Szczecin Win

41%

Pogon Szczecin

2.46

30%

Draw

3.32

29%

Gornik Zabrze

3.43

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.9%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

12.0%

Home win

0 – 1

9.8%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.32

Pogon Szczecin xG

Total xG

2.40

1.08

Gornik Zabrze xG

41%
30%
29%
Pogon SzczecinDrawGornik Zabrze

2.46

41%

Home win

3.32

30%

Draw

3.43

29%

Away win

Goals Markets

69%

Over 1.5

1.45

31%

Under 1.5

3.23

43%

Over 2.5

2.33

57%

Under 2.5

1.75

22%

Over 3.5

4.55

78%

Under 3.5

1.28

10%

Over 4.5

10.00

90%

Under 4.5

1.11

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

50%

BTTS Yes

2.01

50%

BTTS No

1.99

Clean Sheet

34%

Pogon Szczecin

2.94

27%

Gornik Zabrze

3.74

Win to Nil

14%

Pogon Szczecin

7.22

8%

Gornik Zabrze

12.83

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.1 9.8 5.3 1.9 0.5 0.1
1 12.0 12.9 7.0 2.5 0.7 0.1
2 7.9 8.5 4.6 1.7 0.4 0.1
3 3.5 3.7 2.0 0.7 0.2
4 1.1 1.2 0.7 0.2 0.1
5 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.318
λ Away (xG) 1.078
Total xG 2.396
League avg home goals 1.440
League avg away goals 1.164
Pogon Szczecin attack strength 0.973
Pogon Szczecin defence strength 0.800
Gornik Zabrze attack strength 1.159
Gornik Zabrze defence strength 0.940
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 53 / 53