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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ekstraklasa · Regular Season - 34

Kick-off

Sat 23 May 2026

16:30

Venue

Stadion Miejski im. Floriana Krygiera

Competition

Ekstraklasa

Poland

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Pogon Szczecin Win

42%

Pogon Szczecin

2.40

30%

Draw

3.37

29%

GKS Katowice

3.49

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.8%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

11.7%

Home win

0 – 1

9.4%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.36

Pogon Szczecin xG

Total xG

2.46

1.09

GKS Katowice xG

42%
30%
29%
Pogon SzczecinDrawGKS Katowice

2.40

42%

Home win

3.37

30%

Draw

3.49

29%

Away win

Goals Markets

70%

Over 1.5

1.43

30%

Under 1.5

3.33

45%

Over 2.5

2.22

55%

Under 2.5

1.82

23%

Over 3.5

4.35

77%

Under 3.5

1.30

10%

Over 4.5

10.00

90%

Under 4.5

1.11

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

51%

BTTS Yes

1.97

49%

BTTS No

2.03

Clean Sheet

34%

Pogon Szczecin

2.98

26%

GKS Katowice

3.92

Win to Nil

14%

Pogon Szczecin

7.15

7%

GKS Katowice

13.67

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.6 9.4 5.1 1.9 0.5 0.1
1 11.7 12.8 7.0 2.5 0.7 0.2
2 8.0 8.7 4.8 1.7 0.5 0.1
3 3.6 4.0 2.2 0.8 0.2
4 1.2 1.4 0.7 0.3 0.1
5 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.365
λ Away (xG) 1.092
Total xG 2.457
League avg home goals 1.382
League avg away goals 1.175
Pogon Szczecin attack strength 1.084
Pogon Szczecin defence strength 0.985
GKS Katowice attack strength 0.944
GKS Katowice defence strength 0.911
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 67 / 67