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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ekstraklasa · Regular Season - 27

Kick-off

Sun 6 Apr 2025

16:30

Venue

Stadion Miejski im. Floriana Krygiera

Competition

Ekstraklasa

Poland

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Pogon Szczecin Win

57%

Pogon Szczecin

1.76

22%

Draw

4.55

21%

GKS Katowice

4.71

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.3%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

9.9%

Home win

1 – 0

9.3%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.93

Pogon Szczecin xG

Total xG

3.03

1.10

GKS Katowice xG

57%
22%
21%
Pogon SzczecinDrawGKS Katowice

1.76

57%

Home win

4.55

22%

Draw

4.71

21%

Away win

Goals Markets

80%

Over 1.5

1.25

20%

Under 1.5

5.00

58%

Over 2.5

1.72

42%

Under 2.5

2.38

36%

Over 3.5

2.78

64%

Under 3.5

1.56

19%

Over 4.5

5.26

81%

Under 4.5

1.23

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

57%

BTTS Yes

1.76

43%

BTTS No

2.32

Clean Sheet

33%

Pogon Szczecin

3.00

15%

GKS Katowice

6.90

Win to Nil

19%

Pogon Szczecin

5.28

3%

GKS Katowice

32.48

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.8 5.3 2.9 1.1 0.3 0.1
1 9.3 10.3 5.6 2.1 0.6 0.1
2 9.0 9.9 5.4 2.0 0.5 0.1
3 5.8 6.4 3.5 1.3 0.4 0.1
4 2.8 3.1 1.7 0.6 0.2
5 1.1 1.2 0.7 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.931
λ Away (xG) 1.097
Total xG 3.028
League avg home goals 1.435
League avg away goals 1.179
Pogon Szczecin attack strength 1.223
Pogon Szczecin defence strength 1.007
GKS Katowice attack strength 0.924
GKS Katowice defence strength 1.100
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 60 / 26