Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ekstraklasa · Regular Season - 22

Kick-off

Fri 21 Feb 2025

17:00

Venue

Stadion Miejski

Competition

Ekstraklasa

Poland

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Piast Gliwice Win

47%

Piast Gliwice

2.11

30%

Draw

3.36

23%

Stal Mielec

4.36

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

15.4%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

12.8%

Draw

0 – 0

11.7%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.31

Piast Gliwice xG

Total xG

2.14

0.83

Stal Mielec xG

47%
30%
23%
Piast GliwiceDrawStal Mielec

2.11

47%

Home win

3.36

30%

Draw

4.36

23%

Away win

Goals Markets

63%

Over 1.5

1.59

37%

Under 1.5

2.70

36%

Over 2.5

2.78

64%

Under 2.5

1.56

17%

Over 3.5

5.88

83%

Under 3.5

1.20

7%

Over 4.5

14.29

93%

Under 4.5

1.08

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

42%

BTTS Yes

2.39

58%

BTTS No

1.72

Clean Sheet

44%

Piast Gliwice

2.29

27%

Stal Mielec

3.72

Win to Nil

21%

Piast Gliwice

4.83

6%

Stal Mielec

16.23

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 11.7 9.7 4.0 1.1 0.2
1 15.4 12.8 5.3 1.5 0.3 0.1
2 10.1 8.4 3.5 1.0 0.2
3 4.4 3.7 1.5 0.4 0.1
4 1.5 1.2 0.5 0.1
5 0.4 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.314
λ Away (xG) 0.828
Total xG 2.142
League avg home goals 1.411
League avg away goals 1.102
Piast Gliwice attack strength 0.874
Piast Gliwice defence strength 0.882
Stal Mielec attack strength 0.852
Stal Mielec defence strength 1.065
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 55 / 55