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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ekstraklasa · Regular Season - 24

Kick-off

Sat 8 Mar 2025

16:30

Venue

Stadion Miejski

Competition

Ekstraklasa

Poland

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Raków Częstochowa Win

28%

Piast Gliwice

3.59

31%

Draw

3.19

41%

Raków Częstochowa

2.45

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 1

15.9%

Away win

Most likely

0 – 0

14.7%

Draw

1 – 1

13.3%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.84

Piast Gliwice xG

Total xG

1.92

1.08

Raków Częstochowa xG

28%
31%
41%
Piast GliwiceDrawRaków Częstochowa

3.59

28%

Home win

3.19

31%

Draw

2.45

41%

Away win

Goals Markets

57%

Over 1.5

1.75

43%

Under 1.5

2.33

30%

Over 2.5

3.33

70%

Under 2.5

1.43

13%

Over 3.5

7.69

87%

Under 3.5

1.15

5%

Over 4.5

20.00

95%

Under 4.5

1.05

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

37%

BTTS Yes

2.67

63%

BTTS No

1.60

Clean Sheet

34%

Piast Gliwice

2.95

43%

Raków Częstochowa

2.31

Win to Nil

9%

Piast Gliwice

10.58

18%

Raków Częstochowa

5.66

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 14.7 15.9 8.6 3.1 0.8 0.2
1 12.3 13.3 7.2 2.6 0.7 0.2
2 5.1 5.6 3.0 1.1 0.3 0.1
3 1.4 1.6 0.8 0.3 0.1
4 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.837
λ Away (xG) 1.081
Total xG 1.918
League avg home goals 1.366
League avg away goals 1.154
Piast Gliwice attack strength 0.936
Piast Gliwice defence strength 0.971
Raków Częstochowa attack strength 0.965
Raków Częstochowa defence strength 0.655
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 57 / 57