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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ekstraklasa · Regular Season - 22

Kick-off

Fri 20 Feb 2026

17:00

Venue

Stadion Miejski w Gliwicach

Competition

Ekstraklasa

Poland

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Piast Gliwice Win

51%

Piast Gliwice

1.96

29%

Draw

3.42

20%

Motor Lublin

5.04

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

13.9%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

12.1%

Draw

2 – 0

10.6%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.52

Piast Gliwice xG

Total xG

2.40

0.87

Motor Lublin xG

51%
29%
20%
Piast GliwiceDrawMotor Lublin

1.96

51%

Home win

3.42

29%

Draw

5.04

20%

Away win

Goals Markets

69%

Over 1.5

1.45

31%

Under 1.5

3.23

43%

Over 2.5

2.33

57%

Under 2.5

1.75

22%

Over 3.5

4.55

78%

Under 3.5

1.28

10%

Over 4.5

10.00

90%

Under 4.5

1.11

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

47%

BTTS Yes

2.12

53%

BTTS No

1.90

Clean Sheet

42%

Piast Gliwice

2.39

22%

Motor Lublin

4.60

Win to Nil

21%

Piast Gliwice

4.70

4%

Motor Lublin

23.17

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.1 7.9 3.5 1.0 0.2
1 13.9 12.1 5.3 1.5 0.3 0.1
2 10.6 9.2 4.0 1.2 0.3
3 5.4 4.7 2.0 0.6 0.1
4 2.1 1.8 0.8 0.2
5 0.6 0.5 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.525
λ Away (xG) 0.872
Total xG 2.397
League avg home goals 1.435
League avg away goals 1.163
Piast Gliwice attack strength 0.870
Piast Gliwice defence strength 0.767
Motor Lublin attack strength 0.978
Motor Lublin defence strength 1.221
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 55 / 55