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Ekstraklasa · Regular Season - 13

Kick-off

Fri 24 Oct 2025

17:00

Venue

Termalica Bruk-Bet Nieciecza

Competition

Ekstraklasa

Poland

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Zaglebie Lubin Win

28%

Nieciecza

3.63

23%

Draw

4.37

50%

Zaglebie Lubin

2.02

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

9.8%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 2

9.4%

Away win

0 – 1

7.0%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.39

Nieciecza xG

Total xG

3.31

1.92

Zaglebie Lubin xG

28%
23%
50%
NiecieczaDrawZaglebie Lubin

3.63

28%

Home win

4.37

23%

Draw

2.02

50%

Away win

Goals Markets

84%

Over 1.5

1.19

16%

Under 1.5

6.25

64%

Over 2.5

1.56

36%

Under 2.5

2.78

42%

Over 3.5

2.38

58%

Under 3.5

1.72

24%

Over 4.5

4.17

76%

Under 4.5

1.32

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

64%

BTTS Yes

1.55

36%

BTTS No

2.81

Clean Sheet

15%

Nieciecza

6.81

25%

Zaglebie Lubin

4.01

Win to Nil

4%

Nieciecza

24.72

12%

Zaglebie Lubin

8.09

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.7 7.0 6.7 4.3 2.1 0.8
1 5.1 9.8 9.4 6.0 2.9 1.1
2 3.5 6.8 6.5 4.2 2.0 0.8
3 1.6 3.1 3.0 1.9 0.9 0.4
4 0.6 1.1 1.0 0.7 0.3 0.1
5 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.389
λ Away (xG) 1.918
Total xG 3.307
League avg home goals 1.656
League avg away goals 1.238
Nieciecza attack strength 0.807
Nieciecza defence strength 1.595
Zaglebie Lubin attack strength 0.971
Zaglebie Lubin defence strength 1.040
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 12 / 45