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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ekstraklasa · Regular Season - 5

Kick-off

Sun 17 Aug 2025

19:15

Venue

Termalica Bruk-Bet Nieciecza

Competition

Ekstraklasa

Poland

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Raków Częstochowa Win

28%

Nieciecza

3.63

29%

Draw

3.43

43%

Raków Częstochowa

2.31

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 1

13.0%

Away win

Most likely

1 – 1

13.0%

Draw

0 – 0

9.8%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.00

Nieciecza xG

Total xG

2.32

1.32

Raków Częstochowa xG

28%
29%
43%
NiecieczaDrawRaków Częstochowa

3.63

28%

Home win

3.43

29%

Draw

2.31

43%

Away win

Goals Markets

67%

Over 1.5

1.49

33%

Under 1.5

3.03

41%

Over 2.5

2.44

59%

Under 2.5

1.69

20%

Over 3.5

5.00

80%

Under 3.5

1.25

9%

Over 4.5

11.11

91%

Under 4.5

1.10

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

47%

BTTS Yes

2.12

53%

BTTS No

1.89

Clean Sheet

27%

Nieciecza

3.75

37%

Raków Częstochowa

2.72

Win to Nil

7%

Nieciecza

13.60

16%

Raków Częstochowa

6.28

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.8 13.0 8.6 3.8 1.2 0.3
1 9.8 13.0 8.6 3.8 1.2 0.3
2 4.9 6.5 4.3 1.9 0.6 0.2
3 1.6 2.2 1.4 0.6 0.2 0.1
4 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.000
λ Away (xG) 1.321
Total xG 2.321
League avg home goals 1.636
League avg away goals 1.284
Nieciecza attack strength 0.770
Nieciecza defence strength 1.095
Raków Częstochowa attack strength 0.939
Raków Częstochowa defence strength 0.795
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 4 / 37