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Ekstraklasa · Regular Season - 7

Kick-off

Sat 30 Aug 2025

13:45

Venue

Termalica Bruk-Bet Nieciecza

Competition

Ekstraklasa

Poland

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Korona Kielce Win

35%

Nieciecza

2.88

27%

Draw

3.71

38%

Korona Kielce

2.61

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.6%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

10.2%

Away win

1 – 0

9.6%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.25

Nieciecza xG

Total xG

2.56

1.32

Korona Kielce xG

35%
27%
38%
NiecieczaDrawKorona Kielce

2.88

35%

Home win

3.71

27%

Draw

2.61

38%

Away win

Goals Markets

73%

Over 1.5

1.37

27%

Under 1.5

3.70

47%

Over 2.5

2.13

53%

Under 2.5

1.89

26%

Over 3.5

3.85

74%

Under 3.5

1.35

12%

Over 4.5

8.33

88%

Under 4.5

1.14

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

52%

BTTS Yes

1.91

48%

BTTS No

2.10

Clean Sheet

27%

Nieciecza

3.74

29%

Korona Kielce

3.47

Win to Nil

9%

Nieciecza

10.76

11%

Korona Kielce

9.07

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.7 10.2 6.7 2.9 1.0 0.3
1 9.6 12.6 8.3 3.7 1.2 0.3
2 6.0 7.9 5.2 2.3 0.8 0.2
3 2.5 3.3 2.2 0.9 0.3 0.1
4 0.8 1.0 0.7 0.3 0.1
5 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.245
λ Away (xG) 1.319
Total xG 2.564
League avg home goals 1.615
League avg away goals 1.215
Nieciecza attack strength 0.890
Nieciecza defence strength 1.282
Korona Kielce attack strength 0.847
Korona Kielce defence strength 0.866
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 6 / 40