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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ekstraklasa · Regular Season - 18

Kick-off

Sun 7 Dec 2025

11:15

Venue

Termalica Bruk-Bet Nieciecza

Competition

Ekstraklasa

Poland

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Jagiellonia Win

16%

Nieciecza

6.28

28%

Draw

3.57

56%

Jagiellonia

1.78

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 1

14.1%

Away win

Most likely

0 – 2

11.8%

Away win

1 – 1

11.3%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.80

Nieciecza xG

Total xG

2.47

1.67

Jagiellonia xG

16%
28%
56%
NiecieczaDrawJagiellonia

6.28

16%

Home win

3.57

28%

Draw

1.78

56%

Away win

Goals Markets

71%

Over 1.5

1.41

29%

Under 1.5

3.45

45%

Over 2.5

2.22

55%

Under 2.5

1.82

24%

Over 3.5

4.17

76%

Under 3.5

1.32

10%

Over 4.5

10.00

90%

Under 4.5

1.11

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

47%

BTTS Yes

2.14

53%

BTTS No

1.88

Clean Sheet

19%

Nieciecza

5.30

45%

Jagiellonia

2.23

Win to Nil

3%

Nieciecza

33.27

25%

Jagiellonia

3.98

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.5 14.1 11.8 6.5 2.7 0.9
1 6.8 11.3 9.4 5.2 2.2 0.7
2 2.7 4.5 3.8 2.1 0.9 0.3
3 0.7 1.2 1.0 0.6 0.2 0.1
4 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1
5

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.802
λ Away (xG) 1.667
Total xG 2.469
League avg home goals 1.641
League avg away goals 1.206
Nieciecza attack strength 0.721
Nieciecza defence strength 1.448
Jagiellonia attack strength 0.954
Jagiellonia defence strength 0.678
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 17 / 49