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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ekstraklasa · Regular Season - 21

Kick-off

Mon 16 Feb 2026

18:00

Venue

Termalica Bruk-Bet Nieciecza

Competition

Ekstraklasa

Poland

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Gornik Zabrze Win

36%

Nieciecza

2.80

28%

Draw

3.58

36%

Gornik Zabrze

2.75

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.9%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

8.5%

Away win

1 – 0

8.4%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.40

Nieciecza xG

Total xG

2.81

1.41

Gornik Zabrze xG

36%
28%
36%
NiecieczaDrawGornik Zabrze

2.80

36%

Home win

3.58

28%

Draw

2.75

36%

Away win

Goals Markets

77%

Over 1.5

1.30

23%

Under 1.5

4.35

53%

Over 2.5

1.89

47%

Under 2.5

2.13

31%

Over 3.5

3.23

69%

Under 3.5

1.45

15%

Over 4.5

6.67

85%

Under 4.5

1.18

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

58%

BTTS Yes

1.71

42%

BTTS No

2.40

Clean Sheet

24%

Nieciecza

4.11

25%

Gornik Zabrze

4.06

Win to Nil

9%

Nieciecza

11.49

9%

Gornik Zabrze

11.18

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.0 8.5 6.0 2.8 1.0 0.3
1 8.4 11.9 8.4 4.0 1.4 0.4
2 5.9 8.3 5.9 2.8 1.0 0.3
3 2.7 3.9 2.7 1.3 0.5 0.1
4 1.0 1.4 1.0 0.5 0.2
5 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.401
λ Away (xG) 1.413
Total xG 2.814
League avg home goals 1.441
League avg away goals 1.169
Nieciecza attack strength 0.795
Nieciecza defence strength 1.277
Gornik Zabrze attack strength 0.946
Gornik Zabrze defence strength 1.222
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 20 / 54