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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ekstraklasa · Regular Season - 16

Kick-off

Fri 21 Nov 2025

17:00

Venue

Termalica Bruk-Bet Nieciecza

Competition

Ekstraklasa

Poland

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Nieciecza Win

51%

Nieciecza

1.97

28%

Draw

3.62

22%

Arka Gdynia

4.62

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.4%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

10.9%

Home win

2 – 1

9.7%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.70

Nieciecza xG

Total xG

2.75

1.05

Arka Gdynia xG

51%
28%
22%
NiecieczaDrawArka Gdynia

1.97

51%

Home win

3.62

28%

Draw

4.62

22%

Away win

Goals Markets

76%

Over 1.5

1.32

24%

Under 1.5

4.17

52%

Over 2.5

1.92

48%

Under 2.5

2.08

30%

Over 3.5

3.33

70%

Under 3.5

1.43

14%

Over 4.5

7.14

86%

Under 4.5

1.16

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

55%

BTTS Yes

1.82

45%

BTTS No

2.22

Clean Sheet

35%

Nieciecza

2.86

18%

Arka Gdynia

5.46

Win to Nil

18%

Nieciecza

5.64

4%

Arka Gdynia

25.22

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.4 6.7 3.5 1.2 0.3 0.1
1 10.9 11.4 6.0 2.1 0.6 0.1
2 9.2 9.7 5.1 1.8 0.5 0.1
3 5.2 5.5 2.9 1.0 0.3 0.1
4 2.2 2.3 1.2 0.4 0.1
5 0.8 0.8 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.698
λ Away (xG) 1.051
Total xG 2.749
League avg home goals 1.619
League avg away goals 1.212
Nieciecza attack strength 0.694
Nieciecza defence strength 1.583
Arka Gdynia attack strength 0.547
Arka Gdynia defence strength 1.511
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 15 / 15