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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ekstraklasa · Regular Season - 26

Kick-off

Sun 30 Mar 2025

13:45

Venue

Motor Lublin Arena

Competition

Ekstraklasa

Poland

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Motor Lublin Win

47%

Motor Lublin

2.12

23%

Draw

4.43

30%

Stal Mielec

3.31

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

9.9%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

9.2%

Home win

1 – 2

7.2%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.85

Motor Lublin xG

Total xG

3.30

1.45

Stal Mielec xG

47%
23%
30%
Motor LublinDrawStal Mielec

2.12

47%

Home win

4.43

23%

Draw

3.31

30%

Away win

Goals Markets

84%

Over 1.5

1.19

16%

Under 1.5

6.25

64%

Over 2.5

1.56

36%

Under 2.5

2.78

42%

Over 3.5

2.38

58%

Under 3.5

1.72

24%

Over 4.5

4.17

76%

Under 4.5

1.32

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

64%

BTTS Yes

1.55

36%

BTTS No

2.81

Clean Sheet

24%

Motor Lublin

4.25

16%

Stal Mielec

6.37

Win to Nil

11%

Motor Lublin

8.99

5%

Stal Mielec

21.06

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.7 5.3 3.9 1.9 0.7 0.2
1 6.8 9.9 7.2 3.5 1.2 0.4
2 6.3 9.2 6.6 3.2 1.2 0.3
3 3.9 5.7 4.1 2.0 0.7 0.2
4 1.8 2.6 1.9 0.9 0.3 0.1
5 0.7 1.0 0.7 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.851
λ Away (xG) 1.446
Total xG 3.297
League avg home goals 1.447
League avg away goals 1.199
Motor Lublin attack strength 1.097
Motor Lublin defence strength 1.296
Stal Mielec attack strength 0.931
Stal Mielec defence strength 1.167
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 25 / 59