Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ekstraklasa · Regular Season - 28

Kick-off

Sun 12 Apr 2026

13:45

Venue

Motor Lublin Arena

Competition

Ekstraklasa

Poland

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Motor Lublin Win

44%

Motor Lublin

2.26

27%

Draw

3.64

28%

Raków Częstochowa

3.52

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.0%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

10.1%

Home win

2 – 1

9.2%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.53

Motor Lublin xG

Total xG

2.71

1.19

Raków Częstochowa xG

44%
27%
28%
Motor LublinDrawRaków Częstochowa

2.26

44%

Home win

3.64

27%

Draw

3.52

28%

Away win

Goals Markets

75%

Over 1.5

1.33

25%

Under 1.5

4.00

51%

Over 2.5

1.96

49%

Under 2.5

2.04

29%

Over 3.5

3.45

71%

Under 3.5

1.41

14%

Over 4.5

7.14

86%

Under 4.5

1.16

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

55%

BTTS Yes

1.80

45%

BTTS No

2.25

Clean Sheet

31%

Motor Lublin

3.27

22%

Raków Częstochowa

4.62

Win to Nil

14%

Motor Lublin

7.40

6%

Raków Częstochowa

16.28

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.6 7.8 4.6 1.8 0.5 0.1
1 10.1 12.0 7.1 2.8 0.8 0.2
2 7.7 9.2 5.4 2.1 0.6 0.2
3 4.0 4.7 2.8 1.1 0.3 0.1
4 1.5 1.8 1.1 0.4 0.1
5 0.5 0.5 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.530
λ Away (xG) 1.185
Total xG 2.715
League avg home goals 1.430
League avg away goals 1.070
Motor Lublin attack strength 0.949
Motor Lublin defence strength 0.928
Raków Częstochowa attack strength 1.193
Raków Częstochowa defence strength 1.127
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 61 / 61