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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ekstraklasa · Regular Season - 10

Kick-off

Mon 29 Sep 2025

19:30

Venue

Motor Lublin Arena

Competition

Ekstraklasa

Poland

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Motor Lublin Win

52%

Motor Lublin

1.92

24%

Draw

4.12

24%

Radomiak Radom

4.21

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.1%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

10.0%

Home win

2 – 1

9.7%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.75

Motor Lublin xG

Total xG

2.86

1.11

Radomiak Radom xG

52%
24%
24%
Motor LublinDrawRadomiak Radom

1.92

52%

Home win

4.12

24%

Draw

4.21

24%

Away win

Goals Markets

78%

Over 1.5

1.28

22%

Under 1.5

4.55

54%

Over 2.5

1.85

46%

Under 2.5

2.17

32%

Over 3.5

3.12

68%

Under 3.5

1.47

16%

Over 4.5

6.25

84%

Under 4.5

1.19

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

56%

BTTS Yes

1.80

44%

BTTS No

2.26

Clean Sheet

33%

Motor Lublin

3.03

17%

Radomiak Radom

5.74

Win to Nil

17%

Motor Lublin

5.83

4%

Radomiak Radom

24.18

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.7 6.4 3.5 1.3 0.4 0.1
1 10.0 11.1 6.2 2.3 0.6 0.1
2 8.8 9.7 5.4 2.0 0.6 0.1
3 5.1 5.7 3.1 1.2 0.3 0.1
4 2.2 2.5 1.4 0.5 0.1
5 0.8 0.9 0.5 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.748
λ Away (xG) 1.109
Total xG 2.857
League avg home goals 1.558
League avg away goals 1.186
Motor Lublin attack strength 0.806
Motor Lublin defence strength 0.911
Radomiak Radom attack strength 1.026
Radomiak Radom defence strength 1.392
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 42 / 43