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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ekstraklasa · Regular Season - 32

Kick-off

Fri 9 May 2025

17:00

Venue

Motor Lublin Arena

Competition

Ekstraklasa

Poland

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Motor Lublin Win

40%

Motor Lublin

2.50

26%

Draw

3.80

34%

Piast Gliwice

2.96

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.3%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

9.6%

Home win

0 – 1

8.7%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.41

Motor Lublin xG

Total xG

2.68

1.27

Piast Gliwice xG

40%
26%
34%
Motor LublinDrawPiast Gliwice

2.50

40%

Home win

3.80

26%

Draw

2.96

34%

Away win

Goals Markets

75%

Over 1.5

1.33

25%

Under 1.5

4.00

50%

Over 2.5

2.00

50%

Under 2.5

2.00

28%

Over 3.5

3.57

72%

Under 3.5

1.39

13%

Over 4.5

7.69

87%

Under 4.5

1.15

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

55%

BTTS Yes

1.83

45%

BTTS No

2.21

Clean Sheet

28%

Motor Lublin

3.58

24%

Piast Gliwice

4.09

Win to Nil

11%

Motor Lublin

8.96

8%

Piast Gliwice

12.13

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.8 8.7 5.6 2.4 0.8 0.2
1 9.6 12.3 7.8 3.3 1.1 0.3
2 6.8 8.6 5.5 2.3 0.7 0.2
3 3.2 4.1 2.6 1.1 0.4 0.1
4 1.1 1.4 0.9 0.4 0.1
5 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.409
λ Away (xG) 1.275
Total xG 2.684
League avg home goals 1.526
League avg away goals 1.243
Motor Lublin attack strength 1.008
Motor Lublin defence strength 1.188
Piast Gliwice attack strength 0.864
Piast Gliwice defence strength 0.916
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 30 / 65