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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ekstraklasa · Regular Season - 8

Kick-off

Sun 14 Sep 2025

11:15

Venue

Motor Lublin Arena

Competition

Ekstraklasa

Poland

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Motor Lublin Win

35%

Motor Lublin

2.82

30%

Draw

3.36

35%

Nieciecza

2.87

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.5%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

12.8%

Home win

0 – 1

12.6%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.07

Motor Lublin xG

Total xG

2.13

1.06

Nieciecza xG

35%
30%
35%
Motor LublinDrawNieciecza

2.82

35%

Home win

3.36

30%

Draw

2.87

35%

Away win

Goals Markets

63%

Over 1.5

1.59

37%

Under 1.5

2.70

36%

Over 2.5

2.78

64%

Under 2.5

1.56

17%

Over 3.5

5.88

83%

Under 3.5

1.20

6%

Over 4.5

16.67

94%

Under 4.5

1.06

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

43%

BTTS Yes

2.33

57%

BTTS No

1.75

Clean Sheet

35%

Motor Lublin

2.88

34%

Nieciecza

2.91

Win to Nil

12%

Motor Lublin

8.12

12%

Nieciecza

8.36

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 11.9 12.6 6.7 2.3 0.6 0.1
1 12.8 13.5 7.1 2.5 0.7 0.1
2 6.8 7.2 3.8 1.3 0.4 0.1
3 2.4 2.6 1.4 0.5 0.1
4 0.6 0.7 0.4 0.1
5 0.1 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.069
λ Away (xG) 1.057
Total xG 2.126
League avg home goals 1.579
League avg away goals 1.187
Motor Lublin attack strength 0.831
Motor Lublin defence strength 0.904
Nieciecza attack strength 0.985
Nieciecza defence strength 0.814
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 40 / 7