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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ekstraklasa · Regular Season - 17

Kick-off

Mon 1 Dec 2025

18:00

Venue

Motor Lublin Arena

Competition

Ekstraklasa

Poland

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Motor Lublin Win

42%

Motor Lublin

2.38

28%

Draw

3.53

30%

Legia Warszawa

3.38

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.4%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

9.1%

Home win

1 – 0

8.6%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.60

Motor Lublin xG

Total xG

2.93

1.32

Legia Warszawa xG

42%
28%
30%
Motor LublinDrawLegia Warszawa

2.38

42%

Home win

3.53

28%

Draw

3.38

30%

Away win

Goals Markets

79%

Over 1.5

1.27

21%

Under 1.5

4.76

56%

Over 2.5

1.79

44%

Under 2.5

2.27

34%

Over 3.5

2.94

66%

Under 3.5

1.52

17%

Over 4.5

5.88

83%

Under 4.5

1.20

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

61%

BTTS Yes

1.65

39%

BTTS No

2.54

Clean Sheet

27%

Motor Lublin

3.75

20%

Legia Warszawa

4.97

Win to Nil

11%

Motor Lublin

8.94

6%

Legia Warszawa

16.77

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.4 7.1 4.7 2.1 0.7 0.2
1 8.6 11.4 7.5 3.3 1.1 0.3
2 6.9 9.1 6.0 2.7 0.9 0.2
3 3.7 4.9 3.2 1.4 0.5 0.1
4 1.5 2.0 1.3 0.6 0.2
5 0.5 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.603
λ Away (xG) 1.323
Total xG 2.926
League avg home goals 1.644
League avg away goals 1.232
Motor Lublin attack strength 0.934
Motor Lublin defence strength 1.115
Legia Warszawa attack strength 0.962
Legia Warszawa defence strength 1.043
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 49 / 49