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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ekstraklasa · Regular Season - 24

Kick-off

Mon 10 Mar 2025

18:00

Venue

Motor Lublin Arena

Competition

Ekstraklasa

Poland

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Motor Lublin Win

42%

Motor Lublin

2.39

24%

Draw

4.12

34%

Legia Warszawa

2.96

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.2%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

8.9%

Home win

1 – 0

8.0%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.58

Motor Lublin xG

Total xG

2.98

1.40

Legia Warszawa xG

42%
24%
34%
Motor LublinDrawLegia Warszawa

2.39

42%

Home win

4.12

24%

Draw

2.96

34%

Away win

Goals Markets

80%

Over 1.5

1.25

20%

Under 1.5

5.00

57%

Over 2.5

1.75

43%

Under 2.5

2.33

35%

Over 3.5

2.86

65%

Under 3.5

1.54

18%

Over 4.5

5.56

82%

Under 4.5

1.22

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

60%

BTTS Yes

1.67

40%

BTTS No

2.49

Clean Sheet

25%

Motor Lublin

4.06

21%

Legia Warszawa

4.86

Win to Nil

10%

Motor Lublin

9.68

7%

Legia Warszawa

14.38

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.1 7.1 5.0 2.3 0.8 0.2
1 8.0 11.2 7.9 3.7 1.3 0.4
2 6.3 8.9 6.2 2.9 1.0 0.3
3 3.3 4.7 3.3 1.5 0.5 0.1
4 1.3 1.9 1.3 0.6 0.2 0.1
5 0.4 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.582
λ Away (xG) 1.400
Total xG 2.982
League avg home goals 1.349
League avg away goals 1.168
Motor Lublin attack strength 1.031
Motor Lublin defence strength 1.176
Legia Warszawa attack strength 1.019
Legia Warszawa defence strength 1.138
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 23 / 57