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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ekstraklasa · Regular Season - 21

Kick-off

Sun 15 Feb 2026

11:15

Venue

Motor Lublin Arena

Competition

Ekstraklasa

Poland

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Motor Lublin Win

40%

Motor Lublin

2.50

26%

Draw

3.92

35%

Lechia Gdansk

2.90

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

9.9%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

8.6%

Home win

1 – 2

7.9%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.73

Motor Lublin xG

Total xG

3.33

1.60

Lechia Gdansk xG

40%
26%
35%
Motor LublinDrawLechia Gdansk

2.50

40%

Home win

3.92

26%

Draw

2.90

35%

Away win

Goals Markets

85%

Over 1.5

1.18

15%

Under 1.5

6.67

65%

Over 2.5

1.54

35%

Under 2.5

2.86

43%

Over 3.5

2.33

57%

Under 3.5

1.75

24%

Over 4.5

4.17

76%

Under 4.5

1.32

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

67%

BTTS Yes

1.49

33%

BTTS No

3.03

Clean Sheet

20%

Motor Lublin

4.96

18%

Lechia Gdansk

5.64

Win to Nil

8%

Motor Lublin

12.41

6%

Lechia Gdansk

16.34

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.6 5.7 4.6 2.4 1.0 0.3
1 6.2 9.9 7.9 4.2 1.7 0.5
2 5.4 8.6 6.9 3.7 1.5 0.5
3 3.1 4.9 4.0 2.1 0.8 0.3
4 1.3 2.1 1.7 0.9 0.4 0.1
5 0.5 0.7 0.6 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.730
λ Away (xG) 1.601
Total xG 3.331
League avg home goals 1.442
League avg away goals 1.183
Motor Lublin attack strength 1.018
Motor Lublin defence strength 1.064
Lechia Gdansk attack strength 1.272
Lechia Gdansk defence strength 1.178
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 54 / 54