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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ekstraklasa · Regular Season - 19

Kick-off

Sat 1 Feb 2025

13:45

Venue

Arena Lublin

Competition

Ekstraklasa

Poland

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Motor Lublin Win

50%

Motor Lublin

2.00

23%

Draw

4.29

27%

Lechia Gdansk

3.76

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.6%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

9.6%

Home win

1 – 0

8.5%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.80

Motor Lublin xG

Total xG

3.06

1.26

Lechia Gdansk xG

50%
23%
27%
Motor LublinDrawLechia Gdansk

2.00

50%

Home win

4.29

23%

Draw

3.76

27%

Away win

Goals Markets

81%

Over 1.5

1.23

19%

Under 1.5

5.26

59%

Over 2.5

1.69

41%

Under 2.5

2.44

37%

Over 3.5

2.70

63%

Under 3.5

1.59

19%

Over 4.5

5.26

81%

Under 4.5

1.23

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

60%

BTTS Yes

1.67

40%

BTTS No

2.49

Clean Sheet

28%

Motor Lublin

3.51

17%

Lechia Gdansk

6.06

Win to Nil

14%

Motor Lublin

7.01

4%

Lechia Gdansk

22.76

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.7 5.9 3.7 1.6 0.5 0.1
1 8.5 10.6 6.7 2.8 0.9 0.2
2 7.6 9.6 6.0 2.5 0.8 0.2
3 4.6 5.8 3.6 1.5 0.5 0.1
4 2.1 2.6 1.6 0.7 0.2 0.1
5 0.7 0.9 0.6 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.801
λ Away (xG) 1.256
Total xG 3.057
League avg home goals 1.447
League avg away goals 1.195
Motor Lublin attack strength 0.961
Motor Lublin defence strength 1.156
Lechia Gdansk attack strength 0.909
Lechia Gdansk defence strength 1.294
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 18 / 18