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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ekstraklasa · Regular Season - 28

Kick-off

Sun 13 Apr 2025

16:30

Venue

Motor Lublin Arena

Competition

Ekstraklasa

Poland

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Motor Lublin Win

44%

Motor Lublin

2.30

23%

Draw

4.32

33%

Lech Poznan

3.00

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.3%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

8.9%

Home win

1 – 2

7.7%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.73

Motor Lublin xG

Total xG

3.22

1.49

Lech Poznan xG

44%
23%
33%
Motor LublinDrawLech Poznan

2.30

44%

Home win

4.32

23%

Draw

3.00

33%

Away win

Goals Markets

83%

Over 1.5

1.20

17%

Under 1.5

5.88

62%

Over 2.5

1.61

38%

Under 2.5

2.63

40%

Over 3.5

2.50

60%

Under 3.5

1.67

22%

Over 4.5

4.55

78%

Under 4.5

1.28

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

64%

BTTS Yes

1.57

36%

BTTS No

2.76

Clean Sheet

23%

Motor Lublin

4.44

18%

Lech Poznan

5.65

Win to Nil

10%

Motor Lublin

10.21

6%

Lech Poznan

16.95

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.0 5.9 4.4 2.2 0.8 0.2
1 6.9 10.3 7.7 3.8 1.4 0.4
2 6.0 8.9 6.6 3.3 1.2 0.4
3 3.4 5.1 3.8 1.9 0.7 0.2
4 1.5 2.2 1.7 0.8 0.3 0.1
5 0.5 0.8 0.6 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.731
λ Away (xG) 1.491
Total xG 3.222
League avg home goals 1.503
League avg away goals 1.175
Motor Lublin attack strength 1.200
Motor Lublin defence strength 1.267
Lech Poznan attack strength 1.002
Lech Poznan defence strength 0.960
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 27 / 61