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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ekstraklasa · Regular Season - 23

Kick-off

Sat 28 Feb 2026

16:30

Venue

Motor Lublin Arena

Competition

Ekstraklasa

Poland

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Korona Kielce Win

27%

Motor Lublin

3.70

28%

Draw

3.62

45%

Korona Kielce

2.20

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.0%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

10.4%

Away win

1 – 2

9.3%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.15

Motor Lublin xG

Total xG

2.70

1.55

Korona Kielce xG

27%
28%
45%
Motor LublinDrawKorona Kielce

3.70

27%

Home win

3.62

28%

Draw

2.20

45%

Away win

Goals Markets

75%

Over 1.5

1.33

25%

Under 1.5

4.00

51%

Over 2.5

1.96

49%

Under 2.5

2.04

29%

Over 3.5

3.45

71%

Under 3.5

1.41

14%

Over 4.5

7.14

86%

Under 4.5

1.16

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

55%

BTTS Yes

1.82

45%

BTTS No

2.22

Clean Sheet

21%

Motor Lublin

4.72

32%

Korona Kielce

3.16

Win to Nil

6%

Motor Lublin

17.46

14%

Korona Kielce

6.96

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.7 10.4 8.1 4.2 1.6 0.5
1 7.7 12.0 9.3 4.8 1.9 0.6
2 4.4 6.9 5.3 2.8 1.1 0.3
3 1.7 2.6 2.0 1.1 0.4 0.1
4 0.5 0.8 0.6 0.3 0.1
5 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.150
λ Away (xG) 1.551
Total xG 2.701
League avg home goals 1.372
League avg away goals 1.171
Motor Lublin attack strength 1.068
Motor Lublin defence strength 1.178
Korona Kielce attack strength 1.124
Korona Kielce defence strength 0.785
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 56 / 56