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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ekstraklasa · Regular Season - 3

Kick-off

Sun 14 Dec 2025

16:30

Venue

Motor Lublin Arena

Competition

Ekstraklasa

Poland

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Jagiellonia Win

32%

Motor Lublin

3.10

31%

Draw

3.18

36%

Jagiellonia

2.75

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.2%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

11.7%

Away win

1 – 0

10.9%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.13

Motor Lublin xG

Total xG

2.34

1.21

Jagiellonia xG

32%
31%
36%
Motor LublinDrawJagiellonia

3.10

32%

Home win

3.18

31%

Draw

2.75

36%

Away win

Goals Markets

68%

Over 1.5

1.47

32%

Under 1.5

3.12

41%

Over 2.5

2.44

59%

Under 2.5

1.69

21%

Over 3.5

4.76

79%

Under 3.5

1.27

9%

Over 4.5

11.11

91%

Under 4.5

1.10

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

49%

BTTS Yes

2.03

51%

BTTS No

1.97

Clean Sheet

30%

Motor Lublin

3.36

32%

Jagiellonia

3.09

Win to Nil

10%

Motor Lublin

10.42

12%

Jagiellonia

8.51

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.6 11.7 7.1 2.9 0.9 0.2
1 10.9 13.2 8.0 3.2 1.0 0.2
2 6.1 7.4 4.5 1.8 0.5 0.1
3 2.3 2.8 1.7 0.7 0.2 0.1
4 0.7 0.8 0.5 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.128
λ Away (xG) 1.211
Total xG 2.339
League avg home goals 1.637
League avg away goals 1.193
Motor Lublin attack strength 0.908
Motor Lublin defence strength 1.114
Jagiellonia attack strength 0.911
Jagiellonia defence strength 0.759
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 51 / 50