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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ekstraklasa · Regular Season - 12

Kick-off

Fri 17 Oct 2025

17:00

Venue

Motor Lublin Arena

Competition

Ekstraklasa

Poland

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Motor Lublin Win

53%

Motor Lublin

1.88

25%

Draw

3.99

22%

GKS Katowice

4.61

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

12.4%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

11.7%

Draw

2 – 0

10.1%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.63

Motor Lublin xG

Total xG

2.57

0.95

GKS Katowice xG

53%
25%
22%
Motor LublinDrawGKS Katowice

1.88

53%

Home win

3.99

25%

Draw

4.61

22%

Away win

Goals Markets

73%

Over 1.5

1.37

27%

Under 1.5

3.70

47%

Over 2.5

2.13

53%

Under 2.5

1.89

26%

Over 3.5

3.85

74%

Under 3.5

1.35

12%

Over 4.5

8.33

88%

Under 4.5

1.14

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

49%

BTTS Yes

2.03

51%

BTTS No

1.97

Clean Sheet

39%

Motor Lublin

2.58

20%

GKS Katowice

5.09

Win to Nil

21%

Motor Lublin

4.84

4%

GKS Katowice

23.46

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.6 7.2 3.4 1.1 0.3
1 12.4 11.7 5.6 1.8 0.4 0.1
2 10.1 9.6 4.5 1.4 0.3 0.1
3 5.5 5.2 2.5 0.8 0.2
4 2.2 2.1 1.0 0.3 0.1
5 0.7 0.7 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.628
λ Away (xG) 0.946
Total xG 2.574
League avg home goals 1.605
League avg away goals 1.189
Motor Lublin attack strength 0.830
Motor Lublin defence strength 1.000
GKS Katowice attack strength 0.796
GKS Katowice defence strength 1.223
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 44 / 45