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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ekstraklasa · Regular Season - 1

Kick-off

Sun 20 Jul 2025

16:30

Venue

Motor Lublin Arena

Competition

Ekstraklasa

Poland

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Motor Lublin Win

50%

Motor Lublin

2.02

24%

Draw

4.25

27%

Arka Gdynia

3.71

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.9%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

9.6%

Home win

1 – 0

8.9%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.75

Motor Lublin xG

Total xG

2.98

1.23

Arka Gdynia xG

50%
24%
27%
Motor LublinDrawArka Gdynia

2.02

50%

Home win

4.25

24%

Draw

3.71

27%

Away win

Goals Markets

80%

Over 1.5

1.25

20%

Under 1.5

5.00

57%

Over 2.5

1.75

43%

Under 2.5

2.33

35%

Over 3.5

2.86

65%

Under 3.5

1.54

18%

Over 4.5

5.56

82%

Under 4.5

1.22

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

58%

BTTS Yes

1.71

42%

BTTS No

2.41

Clean Sheet

29%

Motor Lublin

3.43

17%

Arka Gdynia

5.74

Win to Nil

14%

Motor Lublin

6.92

5%

Arka Gdynia

21.29

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.1 6.3 3.9 1.6 0.5 0.1
1 8.9 10.9 6.7 2.8 0.9 0.2
2 7.8 9.6 5.9 2.4 0.7 0.2
3 4.5 5.6 3.4 1.4 0.4 0.1
4 2.0 2.4 1.5 0.6 0.2
5 0.7 0.9 0.5 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.748
λ Away (xG) 1.232
Total xG 2.980
League avg home goals 1.487
League avg away goals 1.345
Motor Lublin attack strength 1.023
Motor Lublin defence strength 1.077
Arka Gdynia attack strength 0.850
Arka Gdynia defence strength 1.150
Data phase PrevSeason
Games used (H/A) 34 / 0