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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ekstraklasa · Regular Season - 8

Kick-off

Sat 12 Sep 2026

17:00

Venue

Stadion Wojska Polskiego

Competition

Ekstraklasa

Poland

Status

NS

Most Likely Outcome

Legia Warszawa Win

49%

Legia Warszawa

2.02

29%

Draw

3.42

21%

Widzew Łódź

4.68

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

14.9%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

12.5%

Draw

0 – 0

10.6%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.41

Legia Warszawa xG

Total xG

2.25

0.84

Widzew Łódź xG

49%
29%
21%
Legia WarszawaDrawWidzew Łódź

2.02

49%

Home win

3.42

29%

Draw

4.68

21%

Away win

Goals Markets

66%

Over 1.5

1.52

34%

Under 1.5

2.94

39%

Over 2.5

2.56

61%

Under 2.5

1.64

19%

Over 3.5

5.26

81%

Under 3.5

1.23

8%

Over 4.5

12.50

92%

Under 4.5

1.09

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

44%

BTTS Yes

2.28

56%

BTTS No

1.78

Clean Sheet

43%

Legia Warszawa

2.31

24%

Widzew Łódź

4.10

Win to Nil

21%

Legia Warszawa

4.68

5%

Widzew Łódź

19.18

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 10.6 8.9 3.7 1.0 0.2
1 14.9 12.5 5.2 1.5 0.3 0.1
2 10.5 8.8 3.7 1.0 0.2
3 4.9 4.1 1.7 0.5 0.1
4 1.7 1.5 0.6 0.2
5 0.5 0.4 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.410
λ Away (xG) 0.839
Total xG 2.249
League avg home goals 1.527
League avg away goals 1.160
Legia Warszawa attack strength 1.019
Legia Warszawa defence strength 0.837
Widzew Łódź attack strength 0.864
Widzew Łódź defence strength 0.906
Data phase PrevSeason
Games used (H/A) 34 / 34