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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ekstraklasa · Regular Season - 34

Kick-off

Sat 24 May 2025

16:30

Venue

Stadion Miejski Legii Warszawa im. Marszałka Józefa Piłsudskiego

Competition

Ekstraklasa

Poland

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Legia Warszawa Win

51%

Legia Warszawa

1.97

24%

Draw

4.14

25%

Stal Mielec

3.97

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.3%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

9.9%

Home win

2 – 1

9.6%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.71

Legia Warszawa xG

Total xG

2.85

1.14

Stal Mielec xG

51%
24%
25%
Legia WarszawaDrawStal Mielec

1.97

51%

Home win

4.14

24%

Draw

3.97

25%

Away win

Goals Markets

78%

Over 1.5

1.28

22%

Under 1.5

4.55

54%

Over 2.5

1.85

46%

Under 2.5

2.17

32%

Over 3.5

3.12

68%

Under 3.5

1.47

16%

Over 4.5

6.25

84%

Under 4.5

1.19

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

56%

BTTS Yes

1.79

44%

BTTS No

2.26

Clean Sheet

32%

Legia Warszawa

3.12

18%

Stal Mielec

5.52

Win to Nil

16%

Legia Warszawa

6.16

5%

Stal Mielec

21.90

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.8 6.6 3.8 1.4 0.4 0.1
1 9.9 11.3 6.4 2.4 0.7 0.2
2 8.5 9.6 5.5 2.1 0.6 0.1
3 4.8 5.5 3.1 1.2 0.3 0.1
4 2.1 2.3 1.3 0.5 0.1
5 0.7 0.8 0.5 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.709
λ Away (xG) 1.137
Total xG 2.846
League avg home goals 1.568
League avg away goals 1.243
Legia Warszawa attack strength 0.851
Legia Warszawa defence strength 0.829
Stal Mielec attack strength 1.103
Stal Mielec defence strength 1.281
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 67 / 67